<P><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"> <B><SPAN style="COLOR: blue"> </SPAN></B></SPAN><B><SPAN style="COLOR: blue; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">一、市场新闻透视</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="COLOR: blue; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><BR></SPAN></B><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><BR></SPAN><B><SPAN style="COLOR: blue; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">【宏观经济】</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="COLOR: blue; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><BR></SPAN></B><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"> <SPAN style="COLOR: red"> 1</SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: red; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">、中央工作会议即将在</SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: red; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">11</SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: red; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">月底或是</SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: red; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">12</SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: red; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">月初召开,消息人士透露</SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: red; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">2010</SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: red; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">年经济政策积极口径可能将延续;</SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: red; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><BR></SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"> 2</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">、近期国际舆论施压人民币,要求人民币升值,但中国</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">“</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">抗压</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">”</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">的态度极为坚决,央行不改态度</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">“</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">稳汇率</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">”</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">;</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><BR> 3</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">、国研中心表示第</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">4</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">季度中国经济增长有望超过</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">10</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">%,全年有望达</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">8.5%</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">,但也面临宽松货币政策与通货膨胀的压力。</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><BR><B><SPAN style="COLOR: blue"><BR></SPAN></B></SPAN><B><SPAN style="COLOR: blue; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">【国内市场】</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="COLOR: blue; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><BR></SPAN></B><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"> <SPAN style="COLOR: red"> 1</SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: red; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">、基金近期加紧审批发行备战年底行情,银行储蓄搬家的现象越来越明显,在此投资环境氛围下,股指也不断推高;</SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: red; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><BR></SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"> 2</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">、深交所再出重拳,严打上市公司虚假重组,不断查抓老鼠仓以后,上市公司相关的虚假问题也摆在处理日程之上;</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><BR> 3</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">、保监会十月份数据显示,保险资金</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">10</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">月加仓</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">633</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">亿元,连续两月增加投资金额,投资热情有所加强。</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"> <BR><B><SPAN style="COLOR: blue"><BR></SPAN></B></SPAN><B><SPAN style="COLOR: blue; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">【国际市场】</SPAN></B><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><BR> <SPAN style="COLOR: red"> 1</SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: red; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">、上周五,由于投资对一些利空公司业绩以及欧洲央行退出刺激经济政策担忧,纽约股市三大股指均小幅收低;</SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: red; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><BR></SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"> 2</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">、恒指年内欲摸高</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">25000</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">点</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"> </SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">李兆基开始</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">“</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">边打边撤</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">”</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">,在不断上涨的同时,不断唱多的投资者占大部分;</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><BR> 3</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">、尽管美国经济开始复苏,但美国中小银行处境依然相当严峻,中小银行倒闭数量继续增加。</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><BR><BR> <B><SPAN style="COLOR: blue"> </SPAN></B></SPAN><B><SPAN style="COLOR: blue; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">二、大盘分析报告</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="COLOR: blue; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><BR></SPAN></B><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><BR></SPAN><B><SPAN style="COLOR: blue; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">【早盘表现】</SPAN></B><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><BR> </SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">今天早盘沪深股市双双高开,随即下探</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">5</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">日均线附近,多方发起攻击,两市股指震荡走高,沪指盘中最高摸至</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">3333.79</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">点,再创近期反弹新高,随后展开回调。盘面上,农业、航天军工、食品指数涨幅靠前,水电、地产、医药拖累大盘,<SPAN style="COLOR: red">到了十点半以后,上证指数开始回调,截止到上午收盘,上证指数收于</SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: red; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">3311</SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: red; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">点,上涨</SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: red; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">3.22</SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: red; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">点,上证指数盘中回撤。</SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: red; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><BR></SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><BR> <SPAN style="COLOR: red"> </SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: blue; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">盘面上,</SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: blue; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">“</SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: blue; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">最高端的航天军工股</SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: blue; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">”</SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: blue; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">与</SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: blue; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">“</SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: blue; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">最低技术含量的农业股</SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: blue; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">”</SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: blue; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">表现最好,</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">市场分析认为农业股上涨的原因是全国范围降雪致菜价飞涨,而航天军工股此时上涨主要是航天航空板块受资产重组预期个股表现活跃,并且奥巴马访华,在中国宣布将放宽高技术出口限制,这被认为是此次美国总统访问中国后,双方在经济领域不多的实质性进展,毕竟在高技术出口上,美国国会一直卡得很死,早盘航天机电、航天电子、哈飞股份表现强势。</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><BR><BR> <SPAN style="COLOR: blue"> </SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: blue; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">早盘港股方面,早盘未理美股上周五再度收跌影响,小幅高开,恒指高开</SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: blue; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">85.85</SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: blue; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">点,随后跟随</SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: blue; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">A</SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: blue; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">股市场有所震荡回调;</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">而美股方面由于上周五投资者对一些利空公司业绩以及欧洲央行退出刺激经济政策担忧,纽约股市三大股指均小幅收低;<SPAN style="COLOR: red">全球股市近期走势比较疲惫,而国际期货金价则上涨预期比较强烈。</SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: red; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><BR></SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><BR></SPAN><B><SPAN style="COLOR: blue; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">【午盘建议】</SPAN></B><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><BR> <SPAN style="COLOR: red"> </SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: red; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">市场依然会持续在犹豫中强势上涨,根据上周的大幅拉升表现来看,本周可能在盘中会有技术上性震荡消化获利盘的走势,这使得盘中股指不断有跳水的动作出现,但低位的会有承接盘不断涌入</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">,可以使得股指总能很快化险为夷。储蓄搬家现象还在不断涌现,场外新进资金不断挖掘新的热点,制造局部行情,将市场人气维系在较高水平。目前市场的上升格局保持完好,个股板块有序轮动,由于目前权重股还没有集中启动,市场保持稳中有升格局,一旦大盘股调整结束酝酿板块行情,沪指就可能挑战年内新高。</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><BR><BR> </SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: red; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">今天午盘大盘预计会探底以后逐渐回升,保持良好上攻趋势</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">,上周大幅上涨以后说多的市场评论者越来越多,人人都滞后地讲指数要涨,但从沪市日</SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">K</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">线看,盘中已显疲态,特别是市场一直看重的时间调整敏感日,因此,<SPAN style="COLOR: blue">投资者在保持大方向足够乐观的同时,也要防止近日盘中的短线技术性回调把自己震仓出去了,要注意继续持仓。</SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P><SPAN><BR><BR></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">以上观点仅为一家之言,仅供参考,据此操作,风险自负!如有疑问,欢迎多多交流!</SPAN><SPAN><BR><BR></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">广州</SPAN> <SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">小黎飞刀</SPAN></P></DIV><BR> <P>谢谢!</P> 谢谢 <P>谢谢</P> <P>谢谢!</P> 好久不见,都盼你能长来,支持 谢谢 <FIELDSET><LEGEND><B>弘毅价值 </B>于 2009-11-23 21:18:59 在大作中提到</LEGEND>好久不见,都盼你能长来,支持</FIELDSET>
<DIV id=textstyle_4 style="FONT-SIZE: 14px; OVERFLOW: hidden; WORD-BREAK: keep-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; WORD-WRAP: break-word"><FONT color=#0909f7 size=4>后市短线市场仍将有下探寻求支撑的需求操作上耐心等待低位介入时机,但股指在此出现调整属正常走势,投资者也无需过分担忧操作策略:小跌小买,大跌大买,暴跌完全可以闭着眼睛买<BR>但操作上需保持一定谨慎,震荡中逢高需注意适当控制仓位。 做好高抛低吸,把握正确买卖点正如:机会与风险并存如果你对自己把握不足--那么---跟我们合作:扣扣1132467144 <BR>1.我们发指令,你自己操作 2.先盈利,后付费 3.长期稳健收益,有效的规避风险<BR></FONT></DIV>
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