金印组合 发表于 2009-9-7 16:39

<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 23.6pt; mso-char-indent-count: 1.96"><FONT size=5><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">随着证券市场的发展壮大,证券投资机构也出现超常规的发展。现单是开放式基金加封闭式基金就已有超过</SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black"><FONT face="Times New Roman">300</FONT></SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">个。另外投资股市的保险机构,</SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black"><FONT face="Times New Roman">QFII</FONT></SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">,证券公司自营盘等等公开合法的投资机构数量也过百家。社会其它企业机构参与股票市场投资更是多不胜数。现在</SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black"><FONT face="Times New Roman">A</FONT></SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">股市场各种各样的投资机构已形成一个庞大的投资队伍!</SPAN></B></FONT></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 23.6pt; mso-char-indent-count: 1.96"><FONT size=5><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''"></SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black"><?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></FONT>&nbsp;</P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 23.6pt; mso-char-indent-count: 1.96"><FONT size=5><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black"><FONT face="Times New Roman">A</FONT></SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">股市场包含</SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black"><FONT face="Times New Roman">B</FONT></SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">股大概</SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black"><FONT face="Times New Roman">1800</FONT></SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">家左右。庞大的机构队伍操作过程中混合持股已是最常见的方式。一家上市公司往往少的有几个机构持股,多的则超过过百个机构共同持有。这里面往往每个机构都是不同利益体,在复杂的投资环境中因利益因素必然导致机构与机构之间存在矛盾和纷争。机构与机构之间的</SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 9.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">博弈随之产生而且不断扩大化!</SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 9.0pt"> <SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></B></FONT></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 23.6pt; mso-char-indent-count: 1.96"><FONT size=5><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">现机构中间的</SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 9.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">博弈中大概分两种:一是谁的</SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">成本</SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 9.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">更</SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">低,</SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman"> </FONT></SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">二是谁在低位进的更多,高位跑的更快!</SPAN></B></FONT></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 23.6pt; mso-char-indent-count: 1.96"><FONT size=5><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''"></SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></FONT>&nbsp;</P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 23.6pt; mso-char-indent-count: 1.96"><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 9.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial"><FONT size=5>同一个股票不同机构的进出时间和价格各有所不同。时间成本和筹码成本两大因素导致不同机构在同一个股票中处于不同的利益位置。</FONT></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 23.6pt; mso-char-indent-count: 1.96"><FONT size=5><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 9.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial"></SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 9.0pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></FONT>&nbsp;</P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><FONT size=5><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 9.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">首先是时间因素,先进入的机构持有某个股票时间长了机构操盘手自然把该股视为自己的地盘,对其后进的新机构介入心存戒备。</SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 9.0pt"> </SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 9.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">这如现在城市中那些无牌无证的小贩在一个本不属于他人的场地摆</SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">摊</SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 9.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">做小买卖,久而久之小贩就产生一种此地属于自己的地盘,不允许或对他人进入该地心存戒备心理同样。</SPAN></B></FONT></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><FONT size=5><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 9.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial"></SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></FONT>&nbsp;</P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><FONT size=5><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt"><SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"><FONT face="Times New Roman">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </FONT></SPAN></SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">二是成本因素,先进的机构如果成本较低,其他机构不断介入抬高价格前者当然喜欢。如果先进的机构如果成本较高或者因为股价下跌被套,在相对低位出现其他机构大量介入前者当然不高兴。因为后者的介入的成本低于前者,前者会感觉让他人机构抄了自己的底。虽说后者的介入会在一定程度上抬升该股股价,但作为前者在筹码成本高于他人的心理肯定是不爽的。</SPAN></B></FONT></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><FONT size=5><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''"></SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></FONT>&nbsp;</P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><FONT size=5><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt"><SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"><FONT face="Times New Roman">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </FONT></SPAN></SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">在已进入目标股票机构持有时间较长的情况下,这些机构往往对该股票产生强烈的“我的</SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 9.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">地盘我是老大”的心理</SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">!后进的机构如介入该股时操作方式过于激进的话,已在场的老机构就可能会作出极烈的反映。实践中笔者就曾多次通过盘口发现在场机构“围剿”新介入机构的斗争行为。近日发生在</SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">600631百联股份交易则有这方面的激烈搏击动作!</SPAN></B></FONT></P>
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风行天下 发表于 2009-9-7 16:57

77777777777777777ddddddddddddddddddddddddddddddddddd

郎少 发表于 2009-9-7 17:01

<P>谢谢金印老师</P>

魔人布牛 发表于 2009-9-7 17:18

谢谢老师

牵牛人 发表于 2009-9-7 17:23

<P>顶~~~</P>

痴情 发表于 2009-9-7 18:42

学习了。顶老师

告给你 发表于 2009-9-7 18:49

一个新手 发表于 2009-9-7 20:51

<P>喜欢老师的分析,很明白</P>

水越君 发表于 2009-9-7 21:02

无极 发表于 2009-9-7 21:35

<P>谢谢金印老师!</P>

水土 发表于 2009-9-7 22:15

精彩!谢谢.

静水深流 发表于 2009-9-7 22:23

<P>精彩~~</P>
<P>谢谢!</P>

投资者 发表于 2009-9-7 23:04

<P>谢谢</P>

晨希 发表于 2009-9-7 23:28

<P>谢谢金印老师</P>

湘湘妹子 发表于 2009-9-7 23:33

<P>谢谢金印老师</P>
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