<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-pagination: widow-orphan" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">上周五各高息货币兑美元整体陷入窄幅盘整。中国央行宣布自</SPAN><st1:chsdate w:st="on" IsROCDate="False" IsLunarDate="False" Day="20" Month="12" Year="2010"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt" lang=EN-US>12</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">月</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt" lang=EN-US>20</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">日起</SPAN></st1:chsdate><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">提高存款准备金率</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt" lang=EN-US>0.5</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">个百分点,为年内第六次上调,此前一次为</SPAN><st1:chsdate w:st="on" IsROCDate="False" IsLunarDate="False" Day="29" Month="11" Year="2010"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt" lang=EN-US>11</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">月</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt" lang=EN-US>29</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">日</SPAN></st1:chsdate><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">。该举措在一定程度上缓和了市场对央行加息的预期,商品货币澳元、纽元和加元在消息小幅反弹。但市场整体反应较平淡,这说明市场对中国年内仍有望加息的担忧并未消除,可能仍将令市场情绪略承压。美国早盘美元兑主要货币对普遍走高,因受到强劲的美国数据的支持。美国</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt" lang=EN-US>10</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">月份贸易赤字从</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt" lang=EN-US>9</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">月的</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt" lang=EN-US>446</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">亿美元意外缩小至</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt" lang=EN-US>387</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">亿美元,远低于市场预期的</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt" lang=EN-US>438</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">亿美元,出口上升</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt" lang=EN-US>3.2%</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">至</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt" lang=EN-US>1500</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">亿美元,创两年多新高。美国</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt" lang=EN-US>12</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">月密歇根大学消费者信心指数初值</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt" lang=EN-US>74.2</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">,也好于预期的</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt" lang=EN-US>72.0</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">。强劲的数据令美联储或扩大资产购买规模的预期有所降温。数据后美国国债扩大跌幅,美债收益率反弹再次接近</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt" lang=EN-US>6</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">个月高位,美元指数反弹至时段高点</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt" lang=EN-US>80.22</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">。另外国际评级机构穆迪表示,正在对</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt" lang=EN-US>10</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">家葡萄牙银行的财务实力进行评估,并可能下调葡萄牙主权评级。欧债危机的担忧恐将继续打压市场情绪。日内事件风险较少,目前市场焦点可能已经转向周三的美联储利率决议,此前汇市可能将陷入盘整。</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 6pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt" lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-pagination: widow-orphan" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 6pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt" lang=EN-US> <o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-pagination: widow-orphan" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">美元</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt" lang=EN-US>/</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">加元反弹持续受阻于</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt" lang=EN-US>20</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">日和</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt" lang=EN-US>10</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">日均线,且连续收得十字星形态,再次反转回落测试日图盘整区间底部的风险增大。可尝试寻机逢高做空,紧设止损,目标指向三角形区间底部</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt" lang=EN-US>0.9970</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">档。</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 6pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt" lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-pagination: widow-orphan" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 6pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt" lang=EN-US> <o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-pagination: widow-orphan" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">澳元</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt" lang=EN-US>/</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">英镑反弹再次受阻于日图盘整区间上轨,且连续两日收得十字星后紧接着收得一根大阴烛,有望再次回落指向区间底部。倾向寻机逢高做空,紧设止损于区间顶部上方。</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 6pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt" lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p><FONT face="Times New Roman"> </FONT></o:p></SPAN></P> 呵呵,谢谢楼主了~~~~~~~~~~~ dddddddddddddddddddddddddddddddd
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