<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 15pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">一、后市分析：</SPAN></B><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 15pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.0pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 30.1pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 15pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.0pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 30.1pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 15pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">本周初三大股指连续上攻，并各自创出本轮反弹以来新高，本周后半程才出现较大震荡，周线收出带长上影线的阳线。</SPAN></B><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 15pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.0pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 30.1pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 15pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.0pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 30.1pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 15pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">（一）、消息面：</SPAN></B><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 15pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.0pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 15pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.0pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 33pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">基本面和消息面暂无突发性和拐点性的信息出现，继续按照技术判断中短期走势。</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 15pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.0pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 30.1pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 15pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial">（二）、技术面：</SPAN></B><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 15pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.0pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 30.1pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 15pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.0pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 33pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">从技术上看，本周三大股指周线收出带长上影线的阳线，没有收出较大阴线，最强势的深指周线吞掉上周正锤子星，是不是周线继续将会上攻？<o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 33pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 33pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">中线级别看，三大股指周线目前是金叉之后第三周，我们继续认为中线总体运行从周线金叉开始，五到七周（下周将是第三周）的横盘震荡走势</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">，继续构筑大型头肩底的右半部分，为2010年的吃饭行情做准备。这是中期观点。</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 33pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 33pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">日线目前股指处于横盘震荡阶段，<?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" /><st1:chsdate Year="2010" Month="8" Day="12" IsLunarDate="False" IsROCDate="False" w:st="on">8月12日</st1:chsdate>死叉，<st1:chsdate Year="2010" Month="8" Day="17" IsLunarDate="False" IsROCDate="False" w:st="on">8月17日</st1:chsdate>再度金叉，从<st1:chsdate Year="2010" Month="8" Day="12" IsLunarDate="False" IsROCDate="False" w:st="on">8月12日</st1:chsdate>死叉算起，目前已经运行了死叉之后第七个交易日，一般来说，这个组合周期的末端第九个交易日（<st1:chsdate Year="2010" Month="8" Day="24" IsLunarDate="False" IsROCDate="False" w:st="on">8月24日</st1:chsdate>周二）到第十个交易日（<st1:chsdate Year="2010" Month="8" Day="25" IsLunarDate="False" IsROCDate="False" w:st="on">8月25日</st1:chsdate>周三）是最危险的，三大股指再度快速死叉，尤其是第十个交易日（<st1:chsdate Year="2010" Month="8" Day="25" IsLunarDate="False" IsROCDate="False" w:st="on">8月25日</st1:chsdate>周三），将会中阴确认局势扭转，从而支持上述中期观点。<o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 33pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 33pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">有朋友说，会不会此处再度腾空而起或者快速死叉之后再度快速金叉，继续直接上攻。要想走的更高，需要一次较好的修正准备，一口气功到上证月线的几大阻力附近，是要耗费更多做多能量的，一口气到位恰恰为后市埋藏了更大的隐患。所以，我们认为这种可能性为最多为20%，80%以上认为是上述中期观点。</SPAN></B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 7pt; COLOR: #464646; FONT-FAMILY: simsun; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 33pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><FONT face="Times New Roman"><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN"> </SPAN></B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 7pt; COLOR: #464646; FONT-FAMILY: simsun; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 33pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">我们一直强调——新能源是<SPAN lang=EN-US>2008</SPAN>年底以来要延续这轮经济走向高潮的最大主流，是新的一轮泡沫，就像<SPAN lang=EN-US>2000</SPAN>年前的网络泡沫，<SPAN lang=EN-US>2007</SPAN>年以前的大宗商品泡沫。但是在泡沫到来之前，它们是极为灿烂和辉煌的。再加上</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">每年业绩大幅预增板块中的业绩预增个股，它们将会在每个吃饭行情中，二者交相辉映。投资者做好了准备吗？</SPAN></B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 7pt; COLOR: #464646; FONT-FAMILY: simsun; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><FONT face="Times New Roman"><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN"> </SPAN></B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 7pt; COLOR: #464646; FONT-FAMILY: simsun; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 14pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――</SPAN></B><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 13pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''''''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 13pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''''''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">二、基本面：</SPAN></B><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><st1:chsdate Year="2008" Month="10" Day="15" IsLunarDate="False" IsROCDate="False" w:st="on"><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">08</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">月</SPAN></B><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">16</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">日</SPAN></B></st1:chsdate><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">：<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">1）、上海证券报：农行</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN"><FONT face="Times New Roman">“</FONT></SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">绿鞋</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN"><FONT face="Times New Roman">”</FONT></SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">全额行使 募资居全球IPO之首；2）、综述：本周道指下跌3.3% 纳指收低5%；3）、多部委联合打击开发商囤地囤房；人民日报：楼市调控政策预期效果还远未达到；4）、特高压电网将投资2700亿元；5）、新兴能源产业发展规划或9月中下旬发布。<o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><st1:chsdate Year="2008" Month="10" Day="15" IsLunarDate="False" IsROCDate="False" w:st="on"><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">08</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">月</SPAN></B><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">17</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">日</SPAN></B></st1:chsdate><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">：<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">1）、中国证券报：人民币实际有效汇率连续两月回落；2）、上海证券报：文化体制改革提速新兴企业上市潮涌；3）、证券时报：二季度中国GDP超越日本跻身全球第二；4）、三巨头集体上调9月份价格 钢价迎来反弹行情；5）、BDI五日猛涨20% 企业或逼近盈亏平衡；6）、医药股狂炒超级病菌概念；7）、综述：道指微跌0.01% 纳指收高0.4%。<o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><st1:chsdate Year="2008" Month="10" Day="15" IsLunarDate="False" IsROCDate="False" w:st="on"><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">08</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">月</SPAN></B><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">18</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">日</SPAN></B></st1:chsdate><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">：<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">1）、上海证券报：16家央企抱团抢滩新能源汽车国家队诞生；2）、证券时报：张江高新区可望近期试水新三板；3）、证券日报：国务院八措施力推东北振兴 加快新经济增长极形成；4）、光大银行今携绿鞋上市机构预计上升空间超5%；5）、生物医药振兴规划即将出台；十二五通信业节能规划即将出台；6）、综述：道指收高1% 纳指上涨1.3%；7）、中房协澄清上书国务院：是建言调控政策要落地。<o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><st1:chsdate Year="2008" Month="10" Day="15" IsLunarDate="False" IsROCDate="False" w:st="on"><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">08</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">月</SPAN></B><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">19</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">日</SPAN></B></st1:chsdate><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">：<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">1</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">）、上海证券报：电动车国家队成立 国资委今年斥<SPAN lang=EN-US>13</SPAN>亿力挺；<SPAN lang=EN-US>2</SPAN>）、证券日报：<SPAN lang=EN-US>16</SPAN>家央企结盟汽车行业领跑新能源产业；<SPAN lang=EN-US>3</SPAN>）、低碳省低碳城市试点启动；<SPAN lang=EN-US>4</SPAN>）、上半年业绩大增化纤行业步入上升周期；<SPAN lang=EN-US>5</SPAN>）、综述：道指收高<SPAN lang=EN-US>0.1% </SPAN>纳指上扬<SPAN lang=EN-US>0.3%</SPAN>；<SPAN lang=EN-US>6</SPAN>）、发改委调研内蒙古 区域新政力度堪比新疆。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><st1:chsdate Year="2008" Month="10" Day="15" IsLunarDate="False" IsROCDate="False" w:st="on"><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">08</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">月</SPAN></B><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">20</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">日</SPAN></B></st1:chsdate><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">：<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">1）、上海证券报:美国债违约风险领先全球 美元或重返15年低点；2）、上海证券报:国土部</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN"><FONT face="Times New Roman">“</FONT></SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">暴晒</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN"><FONT face="Times New Roman">”</FONT></SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">闲置土地 楼市调控从严不懈；3）、证券日报:净回笼转净投放央行本周注入410亿元；4）、综述：道指收低1.4% 纳指下跌1.7%；纽约黄金期货周四报收于7周高点；5）、工信部公布铅锌冶炼企业准入办法；6）、十二五文化产业发展规划正在制定。<o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 14pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－</SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 14pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 14pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">三、今日领涨：</SPAN></B<BR></B></P> 谢谢黑马老师的文章！！！ 谢谢黑马老师的文章！<BASE target=_self> 谢谢黑马老师的文章,顶 dddddddddddddddddddddddddddddd ddddddddddddddddddddddddd 谢谢黑马老师的文章,顶 <BASE target=_self> 看看看看五遍，谢谢老师的文章！ 谢谢老师 ddddddddddddddddddd 谢谢黑马老师分析 <STRONG><FONT size=5><FONT color=#800000><FONT face=宋体>所以，我们认为这种可能性为最多为20%，80%以上认为是上述中期观点。<SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: simsun; COLOR: #464646; FONT-SIZE: 7pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt" lang=EN-US><?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></FONT></FONT></STRONG> 谢谢！
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