<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><SPAN><STRONG>――――――――――――――――――――――――――――<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p></STRONG></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><SPAN><STRONG>一、后市分析：<o:p></o:p></STRONG></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 30.1pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 15pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.0pt"><o:p><STRONG> </STRONG></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 30.1pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><SPAN><STRONG>借助农行靴子落地，股指小长假前的一周，二次回探2481，形成小双底，然后腾空而起，震荡反弹。<o:p></o:p></STRONG></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 30.1pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 15pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.0pt"><o:p><STRONG> </STRONG></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 30.1pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><SPAN><STRONG>（一）、消息面：<o:p></o:p></STRONG></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 15pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.0pt"><o:p><STRONG> </STRONG></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 32.15pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN"><STRONG>国内，小长假前公布5月CPI为3.1%，超过警戒线，那么加息是否随即跟进？预防世界经济“二次探底”声音还在耳旁，2010年5月，采购经理指数呈现环比下降；拉动内需最重要的房地产和汽车两个市场销量逐月萎缩，已经和“二次探底”不谋而合，尽管要防通胀，但是我们已经明显感到市场出现滞胀（经济停滞和通货膨胀并存的现象）。节前央行行长周“刺激政策退出取决国内情况”和温总警告一脉相承，尽管5月CPI为3.1%超过警戒线，看来加息这只靴子暂时还不能扔下来。那么，经济走低，加息延后，加息预期还将悬在头上，市场中期不会乐观。<o:p></o:p></STRONG></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 32.15pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.0pt"><o:p><STRONG> </STRONG></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 32.15pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><STRONG><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial">国外，穆迪下调希腊信贷评级至垃圾级别，美国继续玩弄欧元，欧洲债务危机反复继续，随着</SPAN><?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" /><st1:chsdate Year="2008" Month="10" Day="15" IsLunarDate="False" IsROCDate="False" w:st="on"><SPAN>7月1日</SPAN></st1:chsdate><SPAN>大限的来临，尤其是7月后，欧元将会更加不可预测。<o:p></o:p></SPAN></STRONG></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 30.1pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 15pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.0pt"><o:p><STRONG> </STRONG></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 30.1pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><SPAN><STRONG>农行短期能影响市场，甚至有积极影响，但是中期综合来看，并不乐观。<o:p></o:p></STRONG></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 30.1pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 15pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.0pt"><o:p><STRONG> </STRONG></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 30.1pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><SPAN><STRONG>（二）、技术面：<o:p></o:p></STRONG></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 30.1pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 15pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.0pt"><o:p><STRONG> </STRONG></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 30.1pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><SPAN><STRONG>有了上述基本面的了解，中期三大股指月线目前均已死叉，尤其是上证0轴死叉，这种死叉【如果不能短期内从死叉快速金叉，出现奇迹】，中期就会出现【较为悲观的走势——震荡下跌最少五个月（其中可以出现两个月反弹阳线）】，这和基本面的不乐观形成了共振。<o:p></o:p></STRONG></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 30.1pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 15pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.0pt"><o:p><STRONG> </STRONG></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 30.1pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><STRONG><SPAN>1、出现奇迹，就需要短期继续延续小双底反弹，从</SPAN><st1:chsdate Year="2010" Month="6" Day="8" IsLunarDate="False" IsROCDate="False" w:st="on"><SPAN>6月8日</SPAN></st1:chsdate><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 15pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial">开始腾空而起反弹五到七个交易日，其中有两个交易日可以出现震荡阴线，然后震荡回落三日。完成这个反弹组合之后，新组合周期股指能够继续走强，跃上</SPAN><st1:chsdate Year="2010" Month="5" Day="28" IsLunarDate="False" IsROCDate="False" w:st="on"><SPAN>5月28日</SPAN></st1:chsdate><SPAN>颈线位2686之上，并且站稳颈线位2686，蓄势继续上攻。这种奇迹，我们认为概率很小。<o:p></o:p></SPAN></STRONG></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 30.1pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 15pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.0pt"><o:p><STRONG> </STRONG></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 30.1pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><STRONG><SPAN>2、正常走势，短期继续延续小双底反弹，从</SPAN><st1:chsdate Year="2010" Month="6" Day="8" IsLunarDate="False" IsROCDate="False" w:st="on"><SPAN>6月8日</SPAN></st1:chsdate><SPAN>开始腾空而起反弹五到七个交易日，其中有两个交易日可以出现震荡阴线，然后震荡回落三日。完成这个组合之后，新组合周期继续震荡下跌，击穿双底。最多抵抗一个新组合周期，然后击穿双底，再下一层，寻找2010年的大底。<o:p></o:p></SPAN></STRONG></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 30.1pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 15pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.0pt"><o:p><STRONG> </STRONG></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 30.1pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><STRONG><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 15pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial">农行目前完成了第一步，到底发行价格是多少，什么时候网上申购，什么时候上市，管理层现在都还没有确定，但是农行短期对市场有一定的影响。因此，市场最终选择哪种方式，我们可以一方面关注农行的动向；另一方面，我们关注本组合周期完毕（</SPAN><st1:chsdate Year="2010" Month="6" Day="17" IsLunarDate="False" IsROCDate="False" w:st="on"><SPAN>6月17日</SPAN></st1:chsdate><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 15pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial">周四是第五个交易日，</SPAN><st1:chsdate Year="2010" Month="6" Day="21" IsLunarDate="False" IsROCDate="False" w:st="on"><SPAN>6月21日</SPAN></st1:chsdate><SPAN>周一是第七个交易日），市场的选择，这个更为清晰一些。<o:p></o:p></SPAN></STRONG></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 15pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.0pt"><o:p><STRONG> </STRONG></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><SPAN><STRONG>――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――<o:p></o:p></STRONG></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 13pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><SPAN><STRONG>二、基本面：<o:p></o:p></STRONG></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体"><o:p><STRONG> </STRONG></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体"><o:p><STRONG> </STRONG></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><STRONG><st1:chsdate Year="2008" Month="10" Day="15" IsLunarDate="False" IsROCDate="False" w:st="on"><SPAN>05月31日</SPAN></st1:chsdate><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">：<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></STRONG></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体"><o:p><STRONG> </STRONG></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN"><STRONG>1）、农行IPO申请9日上会拟发行不超过222.35亿A股；2）、住建部等三部门出台房贷二套房认定标准；3）、G20釜山会议闭幕 认为世界经济复苏快于预期；4）、中国证券报:周xc：刺激政策退出取决国内情况；5）、证券日报:铁道部：今年国家高铁建设计划投入7000亿；6）、美国监管机构再关闭三家银行；欧美股市遭遇黑色星期五；就业美元施压 纽约油价重挫4.2%。<o:p></o:p></STRONG></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体"><o:p><STRONG> </STRONG></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><STRONG><st1:chsdate Year="2008" Month="10" Day="15" IsLunarDate="False" IsROCDate="False" w:st="on"><SPAN>06月01日</SPAN></st1:chsdate><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">：<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></STRONG></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体"><o:p><STRONG> </STRONG></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN"><STRONG>1）、证券时报：胡：我国科技发展将锁定八大重点；2）、三网融合试点方案即将公布；3）、刘明康：今年农业贷款增量不能低于去年；农产品深加工技术装备规划正在编制中；4）、5月份家电下乡销售额创年内新高；5）、欧盟将敲定4400亿欧元救市方案欧股盘中逆转；综述：道指与标普收于7个月新低。<o:p></o:p></STRONG></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体"><o:p><STRONG> </STRONG></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><STRONG><st1:chsdate Year="2008" Month="10" Day="15" IsLunarDate="False" IsROCDate="False" w:st="on"><SPAN>06月02日</SPAN></st1:chsdate><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">：<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></STRONG></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体"><o:p><STRONG> </STRONG></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN"><STRONG>1）、中国证券报：申银万国等五券商获试点资格融资融券试点范围扩大；2）、中国证券报：证监会：对内幕交易始终保持高压态势；3）、中国证券报：证监会拟禁止基金经理买卖股指期货；4）、王要求云南把旅游业打造成战略性支柱产业；河南发力大中原经济区拟申国家战略；5）、国家广电总局：三网融合下月开始试点；5月汽车产销环比回落同比增长；未来五年高铁将获3.5万亿投资；未来五年我国互联网普及率将达45%；6）、综述：伯南克讲话安抚市场情绪美股收高；纽约金价盘中高点收盘位均创新纪录。<o:p></o:p></STRONG></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体"><o:p><STRONG> </STRONG></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><STRONG><st1:chsdate Year="2008" Month="10" Day="15" IsLunarDate="False" IsROCDate="False" w:st="on"><SPAN>06月03日</SPAN></st1:chsdate><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">：<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></STRONG></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体"><o:p><STRONG> </STRONG></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN"><STRONG>1）、上海证券报：农行A股IPO顺利过会发行价格及估值水平尚未确定；2）、中金所酝酿防范股指期货日内过度交易；3）、外围影响小于预期 5月出口依然高增长；4）、三网融合试点方案明朗 NGB示范区加速投建；资金压力显现 武钢鞍钢纷纷降价；首批智能电网标准有望今年出台；5月车市销量环比连续下滑 车企全年目标销量预警；5）、5月CPI或超3%经济增长总体平稳；6）、综述：默克尔再言退出美股收低；多重因素相助油价高收3.3%突破74美元。<o:p></o:p></STRONG></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体"><o:p><STRONG> </STRONG></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><STRONG><st1:chsdate Year="2008" Month="10" Day="15" IsLunarDate="False" IsROCDate="False" w:st="on"><SPAN>06月04日</SPAN></st1:chsdate><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">：<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></STRONG></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 14pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体"><o:p><STRONG><FONT face="Times New Roman"> </FONT></STRONG></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN"><STRONG>1）、中国证券报：证监会：没有暂停可再生能源行业IPO；2）、证券时报：5月出口增长48.5% 顺差195亿美元；3）、5月经济数据今公布通胀隐忧仍大加息或再次放缓；4）、央行连续3周净投放缓解资金面旱情；5）、黄三角开发实施意见出台；通信业节能标准有望年底出台；6）、综述：利好消息纷呈 美股大幅收高。<o:p></o:p></STRONG></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 14pt; COLOR: maroon; FONT-FAMILY: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体"><o:p><STRONG><FONT face="Times New Roman"> </FONT></STRONG></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><SPAN><STRONG>－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－<o:p></o:p></STRONG></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-line-height-alt: 12.5pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><SPAN><STRONG>三、今日领涨：<SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></STRONG></SPAN></P></FONT></o:p></SPAN> 支持黑马老师 <BR><BR> ddddddddddddddddddddddddd 谢谢黑马老师的分析！<IMG alt=emote src="http://bbs.gupzs.com/templates/default/images/editor/emot/em101.gif"> <IMG alt=emote src="http://bbs.gupzs.com/templates/default/images/editor/emot/em101.gif"> <IMG alt=emote src="http://bbs.gupzs.com/templates/default/images/editor/emot/em101.gif"> 谢谢黑马老师的分析！ddddddddddddddddddddddddd <BASE target=_self> <P>谢谢老师敲警钟，超短线或两三天可看好，之后应谨慎</P> <STRONG>市场的选择，这个更为清晰一些</STRONG> dddddddddddddddddddd 留下爪印留下爪印。。。。。。
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